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March 7, 2017

Sub-Saharan Africa
KDF Garissa U.S. Arms Sales to Kenya

The United States and Kenya have a long standing military relationship. They are allies in the “war on terror,” of which Kenya has been a major victim. Notable attacks on Kenyan soil include the 1998…

January 11, 2018

Brazil
A Petrobras refinery in Cubatao, Brazil. Brazil’s Corruption Fallout

Federal investigators in Brazil have uncovered corruption at the highest levels of the government and in the country’s largest corporations.

November 17, 2016

China
tracking-the-yuan-v-reserves-v-settlement China’s October Reserve Sales, And A New Reserves Puzzle

My preferred indicators of Chinese intervention are now available for October, and they send conflicting messages. The changes in the balance sheet of the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) point to si…

December 6, 2017

United States
Tax Reform and the Trade Balance Tax Reform and the Trade Balance

Warning: long, wonky, and not for the fainthearted. I try to assess how the international reforms will impact where firms book profits and thus the measured trade and income balance, not just the …

December 1, 2017

Yemen
Shipping to the Red Sea port of Hodeidah has been largely cut off. How the Saudi Blockade Threatens Famine in Yemen

Averting famine will require Saudi Arabia to permit the resumption of commercial shipping of food and fuel to the besieged country.

January 3, 2018

North Korean Nuclear Program
Vehicles carry missiles during a military parade in Pyongyang. North Korea’s Military Capabilities

Kim Jong-un has accelerated North Korea’s buildup of nuclear and other weapons of mass destruction, while also modernizing its large conventional force.

November 14, 2017

United States
Global Gun Policy Comparisons U.S. Gun Policy: Global Comparisons

High-profile mass shootings in the United States in recent years have rekindled the gun control debate and raised comparisons of policies around the world.

October 24, 2016

China
china-fx-settlement-v-cny China’s September Reserve Sales (Using the Intervention Proxies)

The most valuable indicators of China’s intervention in the foreign exchange (FX) market are now out, and both point to a pick-up in sales in September, and more generally in Q3. The data on F…

December 26, 2017

Public Health Threats and Pandemics
A heroin user reads an alert on fentanyl in New York City. The U.S. Opioid Epidemic

Opioid addiction in the United States has reached epidemic proportions, threatening not only public health but economic output and national security.

June 2, 2017

Israeli-Palestinian Conflict
Israeli soldiers in front of the Dome of the Rock. How Six Days in 1967 Shaped the Modern Middle East

On the war’s fiftieth anniversary, five scholars discuss how Israel, the Palestinian territories, and the Arab world were remade.