The U.S. currently runs a surplus on investment income of about 1 percent of GDP, as the income on U.S. equity investment abroad (inflated by tax arbitrage) exceeds the interest the U.S. pays on its external debt. That surplus could shrink significantly as interest rates rise.
The role of the Federal Reserve has transformed in the past decade, as it has deployed trillions of dollars to boost the U.S. economy while expanding its regulatory oversight of the nation’s financial system.
The costs of hosting the Olympics have skyrocketed, while the economic benefits are far from clear. This has led to fewer states interested in playing host and a search for options to lighten the burdens of staging the big event.
President Trump has vowed to pass corporate tax reform in 2017, but Congress must still navigate complex negotiations over how to reduce rates and subsidies, as well as whether to tax profits made abroad.
Giving macroeconomic policy advice to a country that saves 46 percent of its GDP is hard. Imprudent domestic policies help limit large external (trade) imbalances, and more prudent domestic policies could result in a return to large external imbalances. Policy changes to reduce national savings are critical.