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August 24, 2009

Monetary Policy
2009.8.10.OilImportBillBreakeven3.0 Iran

This chart plots oil prices against Iran’s estimated import bill “break-even” oil price — the price below which Iran either had, or would have had, to find sources of hard currency other than oil e…

August 17, 2017

"Reform" in Iran

During June’s presidential election in Iran, many Westerners strongly hoped for a Hassan Rouhani victory. Rouhani, the incumbent president, was a “moderate,” the argument went, and during the campaig…

May 1, 2017

President Hassan Rouhani registers to run for re-election. Iran’s Presidential Test

Iran’s May 19 election will pit Ibrahim Raisi, a hard-line protégé of the supreme leader, against the more centrist incumbent, Hassan Rouhani, in a contest that may hinge on the perceived economic im…

December 11, 2017

Conflict Prevention
CFR Survey Ranks North Korea and Iran Among Most Likely and Consequential U.S. Conflicts in 2018

The Council on Foreign Relations' (CFR) tenth annual Preventive Priorities Survey identified eight top conflict prevention priorities for the United States in the year ahead, highlighting armed confr…

October 13, 2017

Iran Nuclear Agreement Nuclear Agreement
Kerry-Zarif-RTX22N89.jpg The Impact of the Iran Nuclear Agreement

Iran has restricted its nuclear program and given international inspectors unprecedented access, but it has not seen the economy recovery expected in the aftermath of the agreement with international…

September 18, 2017

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei Is Iran the New North Korea? Not Even Close

Israel is alarmed about Iran's intentions — but that's nothing new. Flawed as it is, the nuclear deal is holding.

March 9, 2016

Dangerous Illusions About Iran

Last year’s Iran nuclear agreement was sold with several powerful arguments, and among the most important were these: that the agreement would strengthen Iranian "moderates" and thus Iran’s external …

January 14, 2016

USMC seized by Iran Our New Ally Iran

This photo tells us a great deal about American foreign policy today. Human Rights Watch, not known as a right-wing group, has noted that it appears to violate international agreements prohibiting…

February 28, 2018

Middle East and North Africa
TrumpSaudi Trump’s Middle East Strategy Is Totally Boring

There’s a very familiar method to the administration’s apparent regional madness.